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Scientists have pinpointed an a particularly harmful seismic zone lower than 20 kilometres from Istanbul, which could possibly be the epicenter of the subsequent Marmara earthquake.
It was reported {that a} 30-kilometer-long and 10-kilometer-deep block has been recognized alongside the North Anatolian fault zone simply south of Istanbul. The Anatolian fault has a westward movement of between 25 and 30 millimetres per yr. Nevertheless, this movement is being blocked by the block. Scientists did not detect any microearthquakes on this locked fault and consider the strain that’s accumulating there could create a possible nucleation level for one more Marmara phase earthquake.
They consider there’s a 35 to 70% chance that the block can be struck by an earthquake higher than magnitude seven by 2034.
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